FIFA 23 correctly predicts World Cup winners for over a decade straight

LUSAIL CITY, QATAR - DECEMBER 18: Kylian Mbappe of France celebrates his second goal during the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 Final match between Argentina and France at Lusail Stadium on December 18, 2022 in Lusail City, Qatar. (Photo by Jean Catuffe/Getty Images)

SINCE 2010, the FIFA series has been using in-game simulations to correctly predict World Cup winners, and this year it’s done it again.

The team started out its streak of wins by predicting Spain’s victory in 2010, then Germany’s in 2014, and France in 2018.

Kylian Mbappé took home the Golden Boot.

After running 64 different simulation matches using its in-game teams, FIFA 23 correctly selected Argentina to win the 2022 World Cup.

Not only did it get the winners correct, but it also predicted that Lionel Messi would dominate the tournament.

The game correctly predicted that Messi would win the Golden Ball. It also predicted he would win the Golden Boot, for which he came second behind Kylian Mbappé.

Mbappé only managed to sneak the Golden Boot off Messi with a stunning hat trick in the World Cup final.

FIFA also correctly predicted that the Argentinian goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez would pick up the Golden Glove.

While not all of its predictions were correct, many came close. FIFA 23 predicted runner-up France would come in third.

The biggest washout was the prediction that Brazil would end up in second place, but the five-time World Cup winners only made it to the Quarter-Finals this tournament.

FIFA 23 has scanned the likenesses of numerous famous footballers from around the world to come up with accurate predictions.

Experts record and watch the movements of the athletes to ensure that their in-game models perform like the players themselves.

This is what makes the matches in FIFA 23 the most realistic in football gaming, and what helped the developers correctly predict the winners.

The way the simulations work is that the team runs the in-game matches using the teams, and knocks them out as they go, mirroring the real tournament.

It’s not a perfect prediction method, as seen by the few mistakes in its guesswork, but it gives people a more reliable base than sheer guesswork.

FIFA 23’s World Cup mode will be available in-game until January 4.

Written by Georgina Young on behalf of GLHF.